Thursday Night Football Prediction: Patriots vs. Jets (Over/Under)

Written by: Chuck “Deadbolt” Davis

The Thursday Night Football matchup between the New England Patriots and New York Jets promises to be a defensive slugfest, and with the over/under line set at 38.5 points, it’s clear that oddsmakers are expecting a low-scoring affair. Let’s break down why the under might be your best bet for this game.

Key Factors to Watch

1. Jets Defense: The Backbone of the Team The New York Jets have leaned heavily on their defense this season, allowing just 169 rushing yards per game. Their passing defense is also formidable, anchored by their strong secondary. Aaron Rodgers may be the name on the offense, but it’s the defense that’s been winning games for New York. This focus on defense could play a huge role in keeping the game low-scoring, making the under an appealing option.
2. Patriots Offensive Struggles: On the flip side, the Patriots have had mixed success on offense. While Jacoby Brissett has shown flashes of capability, his 58.8% completion rate leaves room for concern. New England has primarily relied on their running game, with Rhamondre Stevenson carrying the load (201 rushing yards). However, against a stout Jets front, the Patriots may find it hard to break through, which only strengthens the case for a low-scoring game.
3. Recent Matchup History: The last time these teams met, the Jets secured a 17-3 victory, a game where the Patriots struggled to score. With the same teams and similar dynamics on both sides, there’s little reason to expect a high-scoring affair this time around. The history between these two teams suggests that defense will dominate once again.

Deadbolt’s Betting Analysis

With the over/under set at 38.5 points, consider the under. Both teams are defensively focused, and the Patriots' offensive inconsistencies further tilt the game toward a lower total score. A short week only amplifies these dynamics, as teams often have less time to prepare offensive game plans, resulting in more cautious play-calling.

Final Recommendation: Take the Under

Based on current stats, recent matchups, and team trends, betting the under 38.5 points is a sharp move for this Thursday night clash. Both defenses are primed to control the game, making this a low-scoring affair that savvy bettors should capitalize on.

At DHAA, we’re not just about making picks — we’re about making informed choices that put you in control. Whether you’re betting on the big game or making decisions in your daily life, trust DHAA to provide the insights that give you an edge. Make your next move the winning move with DHAA.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for entertainment and informational purposes only. DHAA and the author do not provide any guarantees regarding the outcome of sporting events, and readers are encouraged to make their own informed decisions. Betting involves financial risk, and it is the responsibility of the individual to understand and assume those risks. Please bet responsibly.